Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Thats a ridiculously huge number. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Thats 150,000 generations. So whats the probability of your existing? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Now things start getting interesting. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. On one try. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Thats a pretty good trip. You have lived your life. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. And worry and fear? Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. But on all probability it would. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Now things start getting interesting. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Were all winners in life without doing anything! Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. But let's think about this some more. June 24, 2022 . So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Step 1. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. But let's think about this some more. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So what's the probability of your being born? To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Step 3. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Why? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. June 5. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Step 2. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. On one try.. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world.